Poll Shows Turner Within Striking Distance Of Weprin
A new poll, released by the Siena College this week, shows Bob Turner, the Republican candidate, within striking distance of Assemblyman David Weprin, the Democratic nominee.
The poll, taken from August 3-8 among 501 likely voters, had Weprin at 48 percent and Turner at 42 percent, a statistical dead-heat because of the study’s four-point margin of error.
The Siena poll broke down support for the two among different demographics. Turner led among Catholic voters, Brooklyn residents, and conservatives. Weprin had Jews, people from Queens, liberals, and women on his side.
They were tied among men and the elderly.
The research revealed some interesting things about the district’s voters. For example, by huge majorities, those polled favored higher taxes on the wealthy, thought the extension of the debt ceiling was good, and opposed cuts to the social safety net.
They also indicated that they were more likely to be swayed by the endorsements of prominent politicians rather than those of big daily newspapers. The Turner campaign reacted optimistically, sending out a press release on Wednesday. “This survey reflects exactly what I am hearing on the streets of Queens and Brooklyn,” Turner said. “I will work even harder in the next five weeks to lay out … my progrowth agenda.”
On the same day, Weprin’s camp put a positive spin on the development. “This poll simply confirms what we already know — that David Weprin is winning this election because New Yorkers know they can trust him to protect Medicare and Social Security and reform the tax code to make millionaires and Big Oil pay their fair share,” said Elizabeth Kerr, the Democratic hopeful’s communications director.
Yet, Christopher Mendoza, another Weprin aide, e-mailed supporters with a plea for help. “Every door knock and every phone call made will matter,” he said, “please take a volunteer shift.”
As the Siena survey demonstrates, anything could happen between now and next month to swing this contest one way or the other.
Still, voters would do well not to make too much of polling data.
Last year, with days to the midterm elections, Turner came out with his own internal survey that showed then-Congressman Anthony Weiner barely leading with 52.3 percent of the vote to his 47.7 percent.
However, when the following Tuesday rolled around, Weiner buried the Republican 59 to 41 percent.